Biathlon Betting: Characteristics and Regulations
Biathlon is not a mass sport. However, its popularity is slowly growing because of its TV appeal. The competitions are always fiery, beautiful, and packed with adrenaline, and thus no one can remain neutral. They are telecast with high popularity by all major international sports networks. The spectacular nature of biathlon also draws it in the betting market. Neither bookies nor betting enthusiasts can spare this thrilling sport, especially considering the emergence of the Internet platform like the William Hill mobile app, making betting even easier. It is for that reason that it is reasonable to pay more attention to what types of biathlon bets are offered, how to place them correctly, and what major details one has to consider.
Biathlon is interesting from the predictive point of view, being more than the rest of the Winter Olympic sports most of the time. For example, cross-country skiing is rather dull to observe. Yet biathlon competitions have shooting attached to them, and that makes events diversified and adds randomness to the outcome. This randomness of such a conclusion makes biathlon very appealing for bettors.
Advantages
Now let's talk about the advantages of biathlon betting.
- There are plenty of value opportunities. Bookmakers usually lay bets on this sport with a rather high margin, above the average one. Bookmakers seldom put enough analytical work into biathlon. Hence, they tend to overestimate positions and sometimes lay too high odds. Experienced players can take advantage of such value bets in "Who will be higher" or "Who will miss more shots" markets.
- Arbitrage betting on opening lines. Different bookmakers will offer different odds for the same "Who will finish higher" couples even when they have equally high margins. The differences are quickly eliminated, but clever bettors will exploit them before they disappear. Their experience and intuition allow them to take advantage of these opportunities.
It should be pointed out that bookmakers might suspend accounts that continually use arbitrage techniques.
Disadvantages
We now move on to the negative aspects of biathlon betting.
- High margin. Since biathlon is not so popular in sports, bookmakers set higher margins for it. Players, having few alternatives, are left to tolerate this side.
- Low limits. Low limits accompany big margins, and biathlon is no exception. It's difficult to find a bookie who will allow over 10,000 units (e.g., Nevada dollars) on the result of a single race. Normal limits typically range from 3,500–6,000.
- Limited biathlon betting by some bookmakers. Biathlon is best supported in Austria, Germany, and Scandinavian countries. Leading European sports networks broadcast races continuously. Some bookmakers, however, still hold back from offering biathlon bets. They might, at best, offer a simple "Winner of the race" market. Supporters have circumnavigated this by placing their biathlon bets at one bookmaker and their other winter sport bets at another.
- Limited live betting. Relatively few bookmakers enable live betting on biathlon. Live coverage is hard to integrate with the dynamic nature of the races combined with the relatively low popularity of the sport. For this reason, live betting is then often offered in a reduced format: rarely updated, varying odds, and other difficulties. The process often looks disorganized and far from an elaborate live betting experience.
- The element of chance. Sports results are always somewhat random, but biathlon leads the pack in this regard. Results can be influenced by unpredictable and uncontrollable factors: a gust of wind or a brief lack of wind. These elements make prediction much tougher, effectively turning the sport into a "lottery."
- Seasonal factor. Biathlon events are held between November and March. This means spectators and bettors must endure lengthy breaks of over six months. These pauses significantly impact the condition of athletes, leading to massive fluctuations at the start of the World Cup season. This unpredictability makes early stages very difficult to forecast, with insiders being the only ones to possess a real advantage.
Types of Bets
Winner of the race. The wager is straightforward: win the competition. Biathlon is not typically endowed with clear favorites, and odds will be 2.5 or higher at least. There are simply too many potential winners for margins to be anything else.
Top three finish. The problem is naming the winner in the top three. Favourites for an odds-on profit on this market can be less than 1.4.
Head-to-head. This is the favorite among biathlon gamblers. Not all bookmakers offer it, however, but most doing winter sports do. World Championship races might have up to 30 pairings, where gamblers decide whose of the two will finish higher. Margins in this are also significant.
Who will miss more shots. This is an unpopular market among bookmakers but asked for by players. The limits are typically too small to attract high rollers, but fun punters enjoy the excitement of following such bets via a race.
Other options. Other markets are provided by some bookmakers, such as:
- Number of missed shots with a handicap
- Individual total misses
- Finish in the top six
- Winning athlete's country
The diversity of bids relies on the bookmaker's analytics team.
Pre-Race Analysis
Bets must always be made after carrying out a proper pre-race analysis. As opposed to team sports, biathlon is an individual sport, significantly influencing analysis. It also heavily relies on random factors, and therefore, it is more difficult to forecast.
- Current sport form. Examine firing numbers from the last 5–6 events. This indicates how confidently all athletes handle the rifle. Ski pace is another considerable factor to consider.
- Ski waxing. Ski preparation is the final performance determinant. Good waxing provides the highest chances of winning. It can be gauged from warm-ups before the race or preceding events held on the same day. Since teams traditionally use the same technology of waxing for both men and women, the first race of the day usually portends the results of the following ones.
- Motivation. Motivation is extremely crucial, just like for any sport. The overall position reflects just how motivated an athlete is. It may also be done based on home meets, personal life updates, or other factors. If you do plan to bet, watch closely for motivation.
- Weather. Weather is a factor with a strong influence on biathlon. For example, during heavy snow, sharp bettors look at athletes starting in the first half of the field since further racers will need to navigate slower, broken tracks. Shooting is also strongly influenced by weather. When bad conditions are predicted, it is better to favor fast skiers rather than accurate marksmen, since bad weather levels marksmanship skills but amplifies skiing gaps.
Types of Biathlon Competitions
- Individual. Men's 20 km, women's 15 km. The competitors ski five laps with four shooting interactions: first and third prone, second and fourth standing. One penalty minute is added to the race time for each shot missed. Accuracy is the deciding criterion.
- Sprint. Men ski 10 km, women ski 7.5 km. Athletes ski three laps and have two shooting ranges. Each miss results in a 150-meter penalty loop, which is skied in about 22–25 seconds.
- Pursuit. Start positions are awarded based on sprint finishes, with time gaps being equal to sprint finishes. Distance: Men ski 12.5 km, women ski 10 km. Athletes have four shooting ranges—two prone, two standing.
- Mass start. The top 30 World Cup standings competitors compete. Distance: men's 15 km, women's 10 km.
- Relay. Four-man, four-woman teams. Each skis one leg of 7.5 km (men) or 6 km (women) with two shooting segments (standing and prone). This event deserves special mention for its unique type of dynamics.
Biathlon lines in sportsbooks usually occur the day before the competitions.